Claudia Sheinbaum set to become country’s first woman president of Mexico

Claudia Sheinbaum is on the verge of becoming Mexico’s first female president, following the path of her mentor and current leader, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador. Exit polls indicate a landslide victory for Sheinbaum, with Parametria forecasting her to win 56% of the vote. In contrast, opposition candidate Xochitl Galvez is projected to secure 30%. Early provisional results show Sheinbaum leading with 59% of the vote compared to Galvez’s 29%, with 5% of the votes counted. Galvez has not conceded and urged her supporters to await the official results. Sheinbaum’s anticipated win marks a significant milestone for Mexico, challenging the country’s traditionally macho culture and long-standing conservative values.

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Claudia Sheinbaum is set to become the first woman to win a general election in the US, Mexico, or Canada. Supporters like 87-year-old Edelmira Montiel in Tlaxcala express amazement and gratitude for this progress. Sheinbaum faces challenges, including balancing welfare promises with a large budget deficit and low economic growth. Despite pledging to improve security, details remain scarce, and the election’s violence highlights ongoing security issues exacerbated by organized crime during Lopez Obrador’s term.

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Violence and Political Challenges Amid Sheinbaum’s Victory

Sunday’s vote saw violence with two people killed at polling stations in Puebla state. Over Lopez Obrador’s administration, perpetrators have killed over 185,000 people, although the homicide rate is gradually declining. Nathaniel Parish Flannery, a political risk analyst, notes that Sheinbaum will need substantial investment in policing and reducing impunity to improve security. The ruling MORENA party has declared victory in the Mexico City mayoral race, but the opposition disputes this, claiming their nominee won. Mario Delgado, the party leader, stated that MORENA will secure a simple majority in Congress, but it will lack the numbers to pass constitutional reforms without opposition support.

The new president will face tough negotiations with the U.S. on migrant flows and drug trafficking, especially if Donald Trump wins the U.S. presidency, as he has threatened tariffs and military action against cartels. Domestically, addressing electricity and water shortages and attracting manufacturers through nearshoring will be key challenges.

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